Re: What El-Nino?
Posted by
Mike_Doran on 6/15/2009, 10:00 am
During the period of high xray activity is when the SOI dove down to minus 49. Right now that xray activity is low due to the sun spot cycle location. But if high xray activity enhances storms and at the same time that same xray activity causes the SOI index to drop, you actually could have a situation where the season is suppressed and it doesn't 'appear' to be nino but in a way sort of is. Unless and until, I think, that the meteorological and climatological community starts to look at electrics, they will not really appreciate just what an El Nino is.
Presently the SOI index is rising rapidly and that is the best indication of a real danger of severe weather. Again it's very difficult to know exactly what this will mean in the context of what the Arctic is doing, Three Gorge dam, and El Cajon dam (Mexico), because these are conditions that have never existed before so there is no significant experiance to draw upon to make any kind of extrapolation from. There have been dams built before and they have had influences on climate (see eg William Gray's forecasts December 2002 following construction of dams in West African regarding his Sahel rainfall factors). But these specific dams, this specific lack of ice in the Arctic during the peak of the storm season have never been seen before. |
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What El-Nino? -
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6/15/2009, 9:19 am- Re: What El-Nino? - Mike_Doran, 6/15/2009, 10:00 am
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