NWS
Posted by JAC on 10/3/2009, 9:03 am


BULLETIN
TYPHOON MELOR (20W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202009
1100 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING WEST THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANAS...

A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND AGRIHAN.

AT 1000 PM CHST...1200Z...PGUA WSR-88D SHOWED THE CENTER OF TYPHOON
MELOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
145.3 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT   95 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN
              100 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN
              160 MILES NORTH OF ROTA
              205 MILES NORTH OF GUAM AND
              170 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER
WITHIN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 185 MILES FROM THE CENTER WITHIN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES WITHIN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CHST POSITION...16.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE
AND 145.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 130 MPH.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 2 AM CHST SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
5 AM.

$$

STANKO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR PASSING JUST NORTH OF ANATAHAN...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND
AGRIHAN. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ROTA IS CANCELED AS OF 8 PM CHST.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 900 PM CHST...1100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED EYE OF TYPHOON MELOR
WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF SAIPAN...100 MILES NORTH OF TINIAN...160 MILES NORTH OF
ROTA...210 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM AND 165 MILES SOUTH OF
AGRIHAN. TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
TYPHOON BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A
RESULT...TYPHOON FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE
SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS AT THIS TIME...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.
&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 3 AM CHST SUNDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-032000-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS CAN STILL
BECOME AIRBORNE... CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
SOME POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING
IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-031245-
/X.CAN.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

...WINDS...
EVEN THOUGH THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

$$





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Northern Marianas, Guam brace for Typhoon Melor. - hanna, 10/3/2009, 1:31 am
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