CypressTX It looks like Manila will be hit again unless Mirinae changes track.
Posted by
hanna on 10/30/2009, 2:50 am
It looks like the island of Polillo, part of Quezon will be hit then Mirinae will head inland on to Luzon and go just north brushing Manila. For now CIMSS has Mirinae making landfall as a cat 2.
Cypress I hope this CIMSS track, Google map and updated information will give you and his mom some information, hope your 2nd cousin is not in its path.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/
http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&client=firefox-a&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&hs=03Q&resnum=0&q=philippines&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&tab=wl
TY 0921 Mirinae
Issued at 03:40 UTC, 30 October 2009
Analyses at 30/03 UTC
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N15°05'(15.1°)
E124°40'(124.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N370km(200NM)
S220km(120NM)
Estimate for 31/03 UTC
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°40'(14.7°)
E119°55'(119.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area Wide 190m(160NM)
Forecast for 01/00 UTC
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°25'(14.4°)
E116°05'(116.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310 km (170NM)
Analyses at 02/00 UTC
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°25'(13.4°)
E110°35'(110.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s (55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km (210NM)
Storm warning area Wide 440km(240NM)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/0920.html
http://www.intellicast.com/Global/Satellite/Infrared.aspx?location=CHXX0406
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?SIZE=full&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=wp&ATCF_YR=2009&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2009/wp232009.09102800.gif&CURRENT=20091028.0057.gms6.x.vis1km_high.23WMIRINAE.75kts-967mb-162N-1385E.100pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&CURRENT_ATCF=wp232009.09102800.gif&ATCF_NAME=wp232009&ATCF_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2009&ACTIVES=09-WPAC-23W.MIRINAE,09-SHEM-96P.INVEST,09-CPAC-97C.INVEST,09-SHEM-98S.INVEST&MO=OCT&STYLE=tables&YEAR=2009&YR=09&BASIN=WPAC&STORM_NAME=23W.MIRINAE&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc09/WPAC/23W.MIRINAE/vis/geo/1km_zoom&TYPE=ssmi&PROD=gif
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?SIZE=Thumb&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=wp&ATCF_YR=2009&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2009/wp232009.09102800.gif&CURRENT=20091028.0057.gms6.x.vis1km_high.23WMIRINAE.75kts-967mb-162N-1385E.100pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&CURRENT_ATCF=wp232009.09102800.gif&ATCF_NAME=wp232009&ATCF_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2009&ACTIVES=09-WPAC-23W.MIRINAE,09-SHEM-96P.INVEST,09-CPAC-97C.INVEST,09-SHEM-98S.INVEST&MO=OCT&STYLE=tables&YEAR=2009&YR=09&BASIN=WPAC&STORM_NAME=23W.MIRINAE&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc09/WPAC/23W.MIRINAE/vis/geo/1km_zoom&TYPE=vis&PRODUCT=vis&SUB_PROD=geo&SUB_SUB_PROD=1km_zoom&PROD=vis
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CypressTX It looks like Manila will be hit again unless Mirinae changes track. - hanna, 10/30/2009, 2:50 am
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