The Slow Surge
Posted by Target on 1/23/2010, 2:38 am
'Fewer but more ferocious and destructive hurricanes are likely to occur in the next century as a result of global warming, a new climate study suggests.'
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/7045616/Fewer-hurricanes-predicted-in-next-century---but-they-will-be-more-destructive.html

IMHO, the US mainstream media avoids the more troublesome science reports.

Personally I have other issues to contend with now as probably most of do.... But I will take a moment to dwell again on the increased dangers of storm surge due to Global Warming.

I know it seems too difficult to wrap ones mind around now, but so are a lot of other things, such as a volcano that sends Earth into a few years of darkness, an asteroid, etc... but this warming thing could be a slow predictable disaster.

Most US adults should consider the small possibility of a 10 to 20 foot rise in sea level in the next 100 years. I don't know. Nobody knows for sure, but data is forming a clearer picture of what has happened in the past and the simulations are getting better at predicting future warming and ice melts.

The IPCC recently made a mistake about Himalayan glaciers fully melting, but glaciers are only a small contributor to sea level rise. Sea water expands when it warms and Greenland and Antarctica may lose large ice sheets if polar temperatures there rise faster than the rest of the world over the next century.

We might save a city but large areas probably can not be saved if such a large rise in sea level occurs.

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/01/seven-foot-sea-level-rise-2100-pine-island-glacier-past-tipping-point.php

Everyone is dragging their feet when it comes to reporting the most recent simulations.

I guess they just want to double check their results for a few years before advertising the potential problem with accelerated collapse of Antarctic ice sheets when floating ice shelves melt nearby.

'[Pine Island] Glacier Could Melt Entirely in 100 Years
The glacier, located in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has lowered by as much as 90 meters since 1994.'

'According to calculations made 15 years ago, Pine Island Glacier was expected to last another 600 years. However, this new research shows that the it may be completely gone just 100 years from now.'

'Most of the melting now is at the center of the glacier, but the fear according to scientists is that the center melting could break up the glacier and affect the ice sheet further inland.'

'Just This Glacier Equals One Foot of Sea Level Rise'

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/08/antarctica-pine-island-glacier-melting-four-times-faster-than-10-years-ago.php



http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8200680.stm

http://www.e360.yale.edu/content/feature.msp?id=2230

http://www.ox.ac.uk/media/news_stories/2010/100113.html



Oil companies have every motivation to spend a billion dollars a year to manipulate public opinion and public policy on this matter if the models point towards a sea level rise of over 7 feet in the next century due to the burning of fossil fuels.

We might expect that the international oil companies will spend a lot of money every day to lie to us if that will help protect their profits, and we might want to prepare ourselves for a flood of their intentional lies.
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Interesting study to be published shortly... - aquaRN, 1/22/2010, 7:11 am
  • The Slow Surge - Target, 1/23/2010, 2:38 am
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