Re: CMC Agatha?
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 5/29/2010, 3:52 pm
12Z is out now on that site.

Non updating image of the line of the CMC model (12Z valid) and CMCI model (18Z valid, likely CMC 6 hour interpolation model, but I haven't asked the NHC yet):


Two main ways that the oil can get to the west and southwest coast of Florida. One, underwater plumes. Two, a storm. The surface currents, as seen in this great post May 17th blog post from Jeff Masters, likely will not bring surface oil in by themselves. You can see that in the image below from his blog:

194 drifting probes were released in the yellow area and that is what a year of the paths looked like. It is a great idea of where the oil could go.

I guess the Canadian model wants to take a shot at Florida's tourism.
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CMC Agatha? - Doorman, 5/29/2010, 3:09 pm
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