A stalled storm is no good for anyone's nerves.
Posted by
LawKat on 6/28/2010, 9:49 pm
All of the models anticipated a slow storm, maybe even a creeping storm or drifting storm.
But Alex has moved backward, in a small loop, and stayed still. Does everyone realize that in the past 12 hours. he hasn't traversed more than 50 net miles?
There was a storm a few years ago (if someone can help me with this), that stalled and the models could do nothing with the storm. It may have been Ophelia, or some Carolina storm, that refused to leave the Outer Banks, and then came back days later. Models never saw that, once the storm stalled.
Alex runs the risk of not only missing the trough, but also missing the high pressure ridge expected to build back in, as it is not supposed to be a long lived ridge.
The models are doing just a small dance right now, but if Alex does not pick up the pace, a large dance could be coming. I can even contemplate a second Yucatan landfall, if the next trough pushes through deep enough.
A weak tropical storm really isn't deep enough to move anywhere.
Upwelling is a possible killer as well.
Thoughts?
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A stalled storm is no good for anyone's nerves. - LawKat, 6/28/2010, 9:49 pm Post A Reply
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