MD
Posted by JAC on 6/30/2010, 12:31 pm



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1165
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  1017 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
 
  AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER TX COAST AND SOUTH TX
 
  CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
 
  VALID 301517Z - 301645Z
 
 
  THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CURRENTLY PLACES HURRICANE ALEX ABOUT
  190 STATUE MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE WITH THE INNER BANDS OF ALEX
  EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE CENTER ACROSS BROWNSVILLE AND PADRE ISLAND.
  ANOTHER BAND IS SITUATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM CORPUS CHRISTI. WSR-88D
  VWPS ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST SHOW 30 TO 35 KT OF 0-1 KM SHEAR WHICH
  SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS WITH THE STRONGER CELL
  ELEMENTS AS THE RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR
  TORNADOES WILL LIKELY BE IN THE VICINITY OF PADRE ISLAND AND
  BROWNSVILLE WHERE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
  MAXIMIZED IN THE 2.6 TO 2.8 INCH RANGE.
 
  ..BROYLES.. 06/30/2010
 
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Good Chance Cat 2 Before Landfall - JAC, 6/30/2010, 10:57 am
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