Models Honing in on CV Wave
Posted by JAC on 7/12/2010, 10:09 am
GFS for the last few runs has been showing development of a CV wave mid-week, moving high at about 17N across the Atlantic, and developing in the Bahamas this weekend.

I think this has some validity.
UL forecast is showing a window of opportunity.
Azore High and Mid Atlantic TUTT will be breaking down early part of the week.
The Bermuda High will develop later part of the week with a new TUTT forming further east.

Current conditions off the African coast look good.
LIDAR measurements at Cape Verde and Dakar show dust is settling down.

Strong vorticity off the coast and MIMIC-TPW shows a large amplitude wave developing.

This is co-located with a broad low-shear ridge and anti-cyclone.



http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2010071206&field=950mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation







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Models Honing in on CV Wave - JAC, 7/12/2010, 10:09 am
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