Bonnie 2 AM
Posted by
DougInBrevardForce10 on 7/23/2010, 2:16 am
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 200 am EDT...0600 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located near latitude 23.8 north...longitude 77.5 west. Bonnie is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph...26 km/hr. A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today. On the forecast
track...the center of Bonnie is expected to pass near or over the
Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula later today...and
move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Moderate strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...
mainly to the northeast of the center. An automated observing site
on staniel cay in the Bahamas recently reported sustained tropical
storm force winds.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions will continue to spread over the
northwestern Bahamas this morning. Weather conditions are beginning
to deteriorate on the Florida coast and Florida Keys and tropical
storm force winds are expected to spread into the warning area
later today.
Rainfall...Bonnie is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over South Florida...with possible isolated maximum
amounts of 6 inches. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected
over the central and northwest Bahamas...with possible isolated
amounts of 5 to 7 inches.
Storm surge...storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to
2 feet above ground level over portions of the Bahamas...the Florida
Keys...and the southern Florida Peninsula.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...500 am EDT.
$$
Forecaster Brown/Landsea
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