Good moisture but no convection at the moment
Posted by JAC on 7/26/2010, 7:42 am

Very high amplitude with a good roll.

Not pulling much SAL with it.

Wide on 850mb vorticity.

WV shows good moisture thru the mid-levels.

GFS is tracking it across the pond with a possible spin up in the Bahamas around Saturday.

Could encounter a TUTT around late Thursday or early Friday that GFS forecasts to be positioned at 30N 53W.

Same scenario - could see shear induced MCS convection fire up as the wave hits the SE side of the TUTT.

Looks like the TUTT will weaken however and a trough will move off the CONUS coast by Saturday.


If this holds up and gets to around 22 to 25N then, could see some good development.


















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new wave off Africa - nyjames11955, 7/25/2010, 3:06 pm
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