CaneTalk: Re: GFDL Forecasts Major Now

Re: GFDL Forecasts Major Now

Posted by Target on 9/14/2010, 10:26 am

Haven't we seen this 2 times this year already?

Maybe Brownsville has some sort of cyclone magnet.

I have some reservations about accepting the initial starting points that the models are using.

Maybe we will have a better idea of the storm's true center in a few hours.

Also, don't get too comfortable with the direction of the storm over the Yucatan as Wilma pivoted in a different direction when she stalled over land.

And storms can pivot when the eyewall changes.....

But it seems like groundhog day, IMHO.....

In this thread:

18N82W (92L Invest) - Target, 9/14/2010, 3:47 am

1000.7mb - JAC, 9/14/2010, 2:46 pm
SFMR at 57 knots - JAC, 9/14/2010, 2:33 pm
Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) - Beaumont, 9/14/2010, 2:12 pm
Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) Recon - Beaumont, 9/14/2010, 2:10 pm
- Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) Recon - JAC, 9/14/2010, 2:17 pm
  - Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) Recon - Beaumont, 9/14/2010, 2:46 pm
    - Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) Recon - JAC, 9/14/2010, 2:47 pm
TC Formation Alert Posted - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:39 pm
- OHC - JAC, 9/14/2010, 1:25 pm
- Outflow Channel developing on east and south flank - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:54 pm
  - OTs buidling a nice CDO - JAC, 9/14/2010, 1:08 pm
Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) Looking good - Beaumont, 9/14/2010, 12:39 pm
- That may be an understatement - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:41 pm
12Z NAM - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:13 pm
- 06Z SREF - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:21 pm
  - 100 hrs out - steering - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:35 pm
Recon in the air - JAC, 9/14/2010, 12:08 pm
This should nail it - JAC, 9/14/2010, 11:58 am
WindSAT just came in: 15 knot west-barbs in-the-clear - JAC, 9/14/2010, 11:00 am
- Holy Crap - Look at Microwave 17N 82.5W, right at WindSAT's COC - JAC, 9/14/2010, 11:05 am
  - Just went red - JAC, 9/14/2010, 11:07 am
    - Re: Just went red - JAC, 9/14/2010, 11:08 am
LLC - JAC, 9/14/2010, 10:54 am
Roatan, Honduras - JAC, 9/14/2010, 9:44 am
Kicked up a notch on Best Track - JAC, 9/14/2010, 9:28 am
Looks good on close-up VIS - JAC, 9/14/2010, 9:20 am
Looks like Recon going in today - JAC, 9/14/2010, 8:05 am
Looks like this may strengthen over the Yucatan - JAC, 9/14/2010, 6:46 am
A wedgie? - JAC, 9/14/2010, 6:04 am
850mb vorticity is the best seen so far - JAC, 9/14/2010, 5:57 am
- Re: 850mb vorticity is the best seen so far - BobbiStorm, 9/14/2010, 8:26 am
  - Re: 850mb vorticity is the best seen so far - JAC, 9/14/2010, 8:30 am
    - GFDL Forecasts Major Now - Target, 9/14/2010, 10:06 am
      - Re: GFDL Forecasts Major Now - JAC, 9/14/2010, 10:13 am
        Re: GFDL Forecasts Major Now - Target, 9/14/2010, 10:26 am
        Just saw these NCEP Ensembles - right to your point on the pivot over Yucatan - JAC, 9/14/2010, 10:37 am
        Re: Just saw these NCEP Ensembles - right to your point on the pivot over Yucatan - Greenizz, 9/14/2010, 11:53 am
        Re: GFDL Forecasts Major Now - JAC, 9/14/2010, 10:31 am
Re: 18N82W (92L Invest) - JAC, 9/14/2010, 5:53 am
17.6N81.2W at 7:45UTC (Karl?) - Target, 9/14/2010, 5:00 am
- Winds are spinning at the closest buoy - JAC, 9/14/2010, 5:33 am
- We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - Target, 9/14/2010, 5:06 am
  - Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - Jackstraw, 9/14/2010, 5:25 am
    - Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - CypressTX, 9/14/2010, 8:59 am
    - Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - Target, 9/14/2010, 5:44 am
      - Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - BobbiStorm, 9/14/2010, 8:28 am
        Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - Beaumont, 9/14/2010, 10:37 am
        Re: We got a green spot on the Funktop (8:15UTC) - Target, 9/14/2010, 9:21 am
    - Could develop in the BOC - JAC, 9/14/2010, 5:42 am

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