Re: Yes.....so does the term Overshooting Tops
Posted by Skip Wiley on 9/21/2010, 8:31 pm
One personal thing (and this is very non-technical)that gives me some consideration of a pattern change, the feel of the air.

No rain for the past week and a half in south Florida, northerly breezes, and low humidity makes things feel, well, almost pleasant.  Not turn off the A/C pleasant, but a tease that we will be getting troughs and fronts early this year. It feels like the rainy season just quit.

Not because Skip thinks the air feels nice that is no reason to make it sound like he thinks old Matthew will come along and put his out literally underwater (to match it figurative position). Just an observation that has been wandering in my head for a few days with nothing to wrap it around.  

And now this...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
718 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2010

EXTENDED FORECAST...
THE LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST
FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THE HIGH MOVES SLOWLY EAST INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS WILL KEEP THE EASTERLY WINDS IN
PLACE ALONG WITH THE DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SO WILL CONTINUE THE
CHANCE POPS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH EASTERLY WIND AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER...THE WINDS COULD
BE POSSIBLE BE HIGHER THIS WEEKEND DEPENDING ON THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE NORTH AND THE TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE....PLEASE
SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.

Hmmmm... Why do they mention that?
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Model Madness...... - Doorman, 9/21/2010, 5:51 pm
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