This weekends setup
Posted by JAC on 10/28/2010, 12:19 pm
CAPE will be increasing to over 2000 in about 48hrs.

This should fire off some deep convection.

84 hrs is showing a negative moist potential vorticity east of the islands at 340K and a large TUTT at 25N 35W,

Poleward venting could become very efficient and enhanced then.

The right-hand turn could be more a response to a rising tropopause and how the convection and LLC move under it.









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91L - the one Models spinning up in the Carib next week - JAC, 10/27/2010, 4:02 pm
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