1PM TWO - 20% Chance of Development
Posted by JAC on 11/18/2010, 12:56 pm
 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST THU NOV 18 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF HONDURAS. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RELATIVELY HIGH...AND UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION...THE LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA BY LATE TOMORROW...LIMITING THE OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NEVERTHELESS...THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
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