Earthquake Watch - AV-2011-04-09
Posted by
JAC on 4/10/2011, 7:01 am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpoPwjwPy_k
Earthquake Watch thru April 17th, 2011
Recent activity on the solar corona may indicate a severe seismic event centered near 40 degrees south latitude in the coming days. Multi-band characteristics of the disturbance, diminishing solar x-ray activity, and an expected plummet in total solar irradiance indicate a seismic event over 7.3 in magnitude is probable and an event over 8 in magnitude is possible.
Changes in the disturbance may indicate the event is most probable to occur April 15th, 14th, 11th, 10th or in the period following the normalization of the solar wind speed. In the case intermediary coronal mass ejections extend elevated solar wind speeds beyond the watch period, a stronger event is more probable once they normalize.
The shape of the disturbance and recent seismic activity may indicate the New Zealand region as more likely to be effected.
Since the intermediary coronal mass ejections and multiple active regions may conduct the incoming disturbance to other latitudes, the exact location of the event is unknown.
This watch is a service of the Cosabio Virtual Institute and made possible by data products from NASA's ACE, SOHO and SDO projects, USGS, NRL, NOAA, The University of Maryland, Stanford University, University of Colorado, SolarMonitor.org, SpaceWeather.Com and Google none of which are responsible for it's contents. Emergency managers are encouraged to use all available data, including other earthquake indicators, in consideration of appropriate action. Results of this watch will be annotated at the end of this video.
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