Yucatan Convection
Posted by JAC on 6/26/2011, 8:32 am
GFS has the low initialized off Belize and working across to the extreme southern end of the BOC.

Looking at 12 hr RUC forecast, the best opportunity for thunderstorm development will be the northern end of the Yucatan around Cancun and west.

Higher shear and moderate helicity there could likely support MCS development along with a nearly saturated troposphere up to 400mb.

Once in the BOC, need to see if convection catches up with the LLC.


















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Yucatan Convection - JAC, 6/26/2011, 8:32 am
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