Re: looks like Japan gonna get clocked
Posted by hanna on 7/15/2011, 2:51 pm
MA_ON has made a major shift since my post, TY 1106 (MA-ON) Issued at 03:45 UTC, 14 July 2011.  


This is the latest: from SSEC and Japan Meteorological Agency

SSEC has it increasing to 120 kts. and staying that way for a long time.  http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/#

Japan Meteorological Agency

TY 1106 (MA-ON)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 15 July 2011

Analyses at 15/15 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N20°50'(20.8°)
E140°10'(140.2°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE650km(350NM)
SW560km(300NM)

<Forecast for 16/03 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°05'(21.1°)
E137°50'(137.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310km(170NM)

<Forecast for 16/15 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°35'(21.6°)
E135°50'(135.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area Wide 390km(210NM)

<Forecast for 17/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Intense
Center position of probability circle N24°30'(24.5°)
E133°25'(133.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area Wide 500km(270NM)

<Forecast for 18/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N28°30'(28.5°)
E132°25'(132.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area Wide 540km(290NM)

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/


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looks like Japan gonna get clocked - TFG, 7/14/2011, 8:05 pm
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