Re: Yup, should keep going straight west - thanks. Here's latest ASCAT.
Posted by
JAC on 7/22/2011, 4:19 pm
In the morning might be better.
Here's latest San Juan NWS discussion.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
355 PM AST FRI JUL 22 2011
BASED ON SATELLITE...TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY BECOME A BIT MORE ORGANIZED AND EXPECT THIS
TREND TO CONTINUE GIVEN VERY WARM WATER AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS. THUS...EXPECT THESE TWO FEATURES AND INCREASING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO COMBINE WITH FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER
LEVEL CONDITIONS AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO LINE UP IN BANDS AND
CLUSTERS...AND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY
NIGHT...SHOULD BECOME QUITE ACTIVE...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS...LIGHTNING AND AT LEAST SOME
MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING. DID NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT
DECENT MCS WOULD DEVELOP OVER THE LAND MASS AND DECIDED TO LEAVE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH OUT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SHOULD FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL WAVE TAKE PLACE OR BANDS AND CLUSTERS
BECOME TOO FREQUENT...LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO CONSIDER THIS.
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Model runss for 90 l -
stormlover,
7/22/2011, 3:05 pm Post A Reply
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