PREDICT Synopsis
Posted by
JAC on 7/28/2011, 4:51 pm
SYNOPSIS 2011072800
P10L 13N, 31W 700 hPa
ECMWF: Relatively smooth west-northwest track of a distinct pouch.
GFS: Beginning to lose its "ITCZ excitation" storyline. Although the pouch initially tracks south of west with a slight weakening, the evidence for an ITCZ excitation is not so obvious. P10L is a large, distinct pouch that then moves west-northwest and actually strengthens slightly as it enters the Caribbean.
UKMET: Except for a early "dip" to the south, the track is to the west-northwest with gradual intensification.
NOGAPS: Slower than other models, but NOGAPS still maintains a distinct pouch to 120 hours.
ECMWF -7.0 v700 & RH/TPW 120h GFS -8.0 v700 & RH/TPW 120h UKMET -8.6 v700 & RH 120h NOGAPS -6.0 v700 & RH 120h
|
99
In this thread:
Back on Track? -
ricksterpr,
7/28/2011, 4:46 pm Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.