actually it is a 1-in-20 trillion risk for any particular person
Posted by cypresstx on 9/21/2011, 8:18 pm
per this article:  http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/09/21/7879772-nasa-satellite-wont-fall-on-us

NASA gives updates here:  http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/uars/index.html  but won't be recalculating the risk before it re-enters

Update #7
Wed, 21 Sep 2011 05:35:54 PM CDT

As of 1:30 p.m. EDT Sept. 21, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 120 mi by 130 mi (190 km by 205 km). Re-entry is expected sometime during the afternoon of Sept. 23, Eastern Daylight Time. The satellite will not be passing over North America during that time period. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any more certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 24 to 48 hours.
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Falling satellite could hit anywhere - Zephyr, 9/21/2011, 8:31 am
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