Water Vapor Loop and the Gulf of Mexico
Posted by BobbiStorm on 6/21/2012, 4:40 pm
It really shows how fluid a situation this is... looking at the system itself today on satellite imagery you can see the battle going on as it relates to it's development, movement and down the road paths to landfall.

There is a strong upper level low off the East coast of Florida. There was more dry air to the north, but that is slowly going away as moisture from the system itself is moving north into the area. This system has already been a huge rainmaker over most of South Florida and Cuba.

There is a low to the W over Texas, but it's not as strong as the one to the east and it seems to be retrograding away.

The front looks amazingly strong as it dives down fast, someone somewhere is gonna have really bad weather tomorrow when the hot, hot, hot meets the relatively cold temps.

Also, wondering if a low of sorts is going to form to the north of our struggling system.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_640.asp?product=tropical_ge_14km_wv

So much depends on this front and so much depends on timing, as usual.

I see the European model, but I don't like flip flop models and until I see a few more runs showing the same thing I have a problem with such a dramatic flip flop. Split the difference and Debby goes North.

Look at 12 hours ago and see how different the ULL in the Atlantic look compared to the current image:

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv.php?inv=0&t=-12&region=ea

Current Image... much stronger...

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv.php?inv=0&t=cur&region=ea

A lot going on...

Would like some thoughts, sure everyone has a few.


164
In this thread:
Water Vapor Loop and the Gulf of Mexico - BobbiStorm, 6/21/2012, 4:40 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.