of note - experimental version shows no spot currently
Posted by cypresstx on 7/15/2012, 8:54 am
has this disclaimer on their page:  
July 22, 2009: TEST PAGE - FOR EVALUATION PURPOSES ONLY! This is the website for the new experimental TC formation product, which is in its development phase and should NOT be used for operations or research. Please use the operational product supported by NESDIS at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/index.html.





operational product 's page says it was last updated July 2008:

The Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability (TCFP) product was updated on July 1, 2008 (see NEW FEATURES pdf file - 18Kb). NCEP global analyses, ATCF tropical cyclone (TC) positions, and GOES-East, GOES-West, and MTSAT-1R water vapor imagery are used in an algorithm to estimate the probability of tropical cyclone formation within the next 24 hours in 5° by 5° latitude/longitude sub-regions from 0° to 45°N and 100°E to 10°W. The product updates every 6 hours. Product latency is 4-5 hours, depending on the time the input data are available, and product updates can be expected on the website 5 hours after synoptic times (0Z updates at 5Z, 6Z at 11Z, 12Z at 17Z, and 18Z at 23Z). The product domain is divided into 3 basins based on satellite coverage and warning agency boundaries.


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tcfp - spot in gulf - cypresstx, 7/15/2012, 6:58 am
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