Re: TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 12. Changes in storm & track
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/24/2012, 2:59 am
Not sure which specific product on Weather Underground you are talking about, but if you mean this one:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201209_model.html

That is just one model. You can find a more indepth product of it at the bottom of this folder:
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/

Current 08/24/12 06 UTC product:
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/12082406AL0912_ships.txt
The Weather Undergound is displaying the "V (KT) LAND" version. The "V (KT) NO LAND" is if there was no land. WU is very misleading though. See this:

http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2012&storm=09&display=googlemap&latestrun=1&models=DSHP

That is the DSHP (V (KT) LAND). It is traveling over a lot of water though, not a whole lot of land. Compare to the values of SHIP (you can just unclick DSHP and click on SHIP or click below):

http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2012&storm=09&display=googlemap&latestrun=1&models=SHIP

SHIP is without land. (V (KT) NO LAND) It travels over a lot of water, so the water version is more applicable in this case. However, here is one that combines it all:

http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2012&storm=09&display=googlemap&latestrun=1&models=LGEM

V (KT) LGE mod. The LGEM. So that would be best to look at. Click points along the track and see how the intensity drops as it goes over land.

The land and no land version are helpful at times though. If the storm could be more likely to stay over water, you might look more at SHIP. If the storm could hit a lot more land, you might look more at the decay SHIPS. (DSHP)

Here are some more intensity models, including the ones mentioned:
http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2012&storm=09&display=wind_diagram&latestrun=1
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TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 12. Changes in storm & track - hanna, 8/23/2012, 11:00 pm
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