18W.JELAWAT, ATCF TRACK
Posted by hanna on 9/27/2012, 9:03 am
The Navy says it will be 115.078 mph when it reaches Kadena, Japan.





TY 1217 (JELAWAT)

Issued at 09:45 UTC, 27 September 2012


Analyses at 27/09 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N20°35'(20.6°)
E124°20'(124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N650km(350NM) S440km(240NM)


<Forecast for 27/21 UTC>
Intensity  Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°25'(21.4°)
E123°55'(123.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL280km(150NM)


<Forecast for 28/09 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N23°20'(23.3°)
E124°20'(124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL310km(170NM)


<Forecast for 29/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N25°10'(25.2°)
E126°40'(126.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL440km(240NM)


<Forecast for 30/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N28°05'(28.1°)
E130°30'(130.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)
Storm warning area ALL600km(325NM)






http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
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18W.JELAWAT, ATCF TRACK - hanna, 9/27/2012, 9:03 am
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