Re: TY 1217 (JELAWAT)
Posted by hanna on 9/28/2012, 10:35 am
Sorry it is Cape Irago, Atsumi Peninsula, Honshu, Japan.  http://www.go-centraljapan.jp/en/spot/index_3.html  It appears JMA & Navy tracking
maps now agree that Kadena, Okinawa, Japan should get a direct hit.  The island of Miyakojima, Japan will get hit first.




http://www.japan-i.jp/explorejapan/kyushu/okinawa/islands/d8jk7l000002tar8.html












http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/pages/tc12/WPAC/18W.JELAWAT/ir/ols/1km/full/20120927.1055.f18.x.ir1km.18WJELAWAT.135kts-922mb-210N-1240E.84pc.html



TY 1217 (JELAWAT)
Issued at 12:50 UTC, 28 September 2012


Analyses at 28/12 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N24°10'(24.2°)
E125°00'(125.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt /97.816mph)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW440km(240NM)

<Estimate for 28/13 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N24°20'(24.3°)
E125°05'(125.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW440km(240NM)

<Forecast for 28/18 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N24°55'(24.9°)
E125°30'(125.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 60km(30NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 29/00 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N25°30'(25.5°)
E126°25'(126.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 29/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N26°20'(26.3°)
E127°35'(127.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt/97.816mph)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)

<Forecast for 29/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N27°05'(27.1°)
E129°00'(129.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL310km(170NM)



59
In this thread:
TY 1217 (JELAWAT) - hanna, 9/28/2012, 1:54 am
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.