19W.PABUK/STS 1320
Posted by hanna on 9/23/2013, 8:19 am
PABUK has chosen to grow up, and seems to be attracted to Japan. I could be wrong but it seems to me every time I look at the Navy's site PABUK's  track shifts a little closer to Japan.  PABUK predicted to be a short lived typhoon is now expected to remain a typhoon longer and winds are predicted to increase to 80kts/92.062 mph.  PABUK did not go directly over Iwo To
, I believe Iwo To is still recovering from last year's typhoon season.

TS 1320 (PABUK)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 23 September 2013
Analyses at 23/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N25°00'(25.0°)
E141°00'(141.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more E170km(90NM)
W110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW370km(200NM)

<Forecast for 23/21 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N26°00'(26.0°)
E140°00'(140.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area E260km(140NM)
W200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 24/09 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N27°05'(27.1°)
E139°00'(139.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area E300km(160NM)
W240km(130NM)

<Forecast for 25/06 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N28°55'(28.9°)
E138°55'(138.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area E370km(200NM)
W310km(170NM)

<Forecast for 26/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N32°10'(32.2°)
E143°40'(143.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 370km(200NM)
Storm warning area E540km(290NM)
W500km(270NM)



Yes the track is old.


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19W.PABUK/STS 1320 - hanna, 9/23/2013, 8:19 am
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