97L's chance of development is now high, 70% (as of 2pm on Oct 2nd)
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 10/2/2013, 2:54 pm
Floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/97L/97L_floater.html
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE.
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO
FORECASTER PASCH"
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml |
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97L's chance of development is now high, 70% (as of 2pm on Oct 2nd) - Chris in Tampa, 10/2/2013, 2:54 pm Post A Reply
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