Update: STS 1325 (NARI)/24W.TWENTYFOUR, 92W.INVEST, Monster 02B.PHAILIN (Indian Ocean ) & 94E.INVEST
Posted by hanna on 10/10/2013, 1:16 pm
STS 1325 (NARI)

Issued at 15:40 UTC, 10 October 2013
Analyses at 10/15 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N15°20'(15.3°)
E125°40'(125.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 11/15 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N15°55'(15.9°)
E122°05'(122.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 12/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N15°55'(15.9°)
E118°00'(118.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL370km(200NM)

<Forecast for 13/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N15°55'(15.9°)
E113°30'(113.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL520km(280NM)






In this satellite from right to left you can see 25W.TWENTYFIVE, NARI, and 02B.PHAILIN (02B.TWO) .


25W.TWENTYFIVE




02B.PHAILIN/02B.TWO was not much @ 1:25pm yesterday when I posted, look at the monster now.  It is expected to become a Category 5 135kts/155.355.  I read this year India has had a very nasty monsoon season with a lot of flooding and many deaths.  




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TS 1325 (NARI)/24W.TWENTYFOUR, 92W.INVEST, 02B.TWO (Indian Ocean ) & 94E.INVEST - hanna, 10/9/2013, 1:25 pm
  • Update: STS 1325 (NARI)/24W.TWENTYFOUR, 92W.INVEST, Monster 02B.PHAILIN (Indian Ocean ) & 94E.INVEST - hanna, 10/10/2013, 1:16 pm
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