Re: NOAA predicts near-normal or below-normal 2014 Atlantic hurricane season
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 5/22/2014, 7:46 pm
I don't really like seasonal forecasts so widely distributed. I only highlighted the important part, it can only take one. As a weather geek, I like that they have them available, but they are just not very helpful to the general public. People unfortunately take it to mean there chance of being hit is reduced. Whether there is a forecast of 1 or 20 storms, you still need to be prepared every single year. If there was just a single storm in a season and it hit your house, that is all that really matters. A seasonal forecast cannot tell you whether you will or will not be hit.
For those that don't know, I suppose it is also important to note that even though this is all under the NOAA umbrella, the team putting this out is different from the National Hurricane Center. The NHC is very good, but those who put this seasonal forecast out are not going to do as well simply because it is darn hard to predict something like this. (although, yes, their wider range does help most years to be correct) But even if they were to get it right every year, and even if they nailed the exact number year after year, which of course is not going to happen, it still doesn't tell you about your individual risk. |
141
In this thread:
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.