Re: now Boris & 10% back up in Bay of Campeche
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 6/3/2014, 3:27 pm
Mexico had this same problem last year with systems on both sides. With mountainous terrain and "isolated amounts exceeding 30 inches likely" in some areas, this would be extremely devastating.

I don't know if some of the same areas that get a lot of rain from Boris might get a lot of rain from whatever may develop on our side. (Of course whether something develops or not, or waits to develop until after leaving that area, it could hang around for almost a week dumping rain before moving.)

It's long term that it will likely have a better chance, still perhaps beyond five days. I noticed something in the 2pm outlook. Anyone catch it...



"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2014

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
LIMIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES LITTLE.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT

FORECASTER SULLIVAN"



Capital letters for this one and it was not issued by the National Hurricane Center. That would likely be why no lower case, they were not equipped perhaps.

I can't recall if I have seen that before, although maybe it is due to the heavy rain forecast? But then the Weather Prediction Center covers the US:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

All the other NHC products came out from the NHC.
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TD2E - cypresstx, 6/2/2014, 5:30 pm
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