Re: Invest 91L - From NWS Jax
Posted by tapesit on 6/28/2014, 10:13 pm
Partners,
Currently: There is the potential for a tropical depression or even a tropical storm to develop over the Atlantic east of the Florida coast this upcoming week. Right now there is a 40% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 60% chance of development over the next five days.
Right now the system is just an elongated area of showers and thunderstorms offshore with a low center roughly off the South Carolina coast.
Synopsis: What does this mean for us? Frankly there isn't really a lot we can say about potential impacts at this point. The models are very diverse on what they want to do with this system from not much at all, to sending it out to sea off the Cape Hatteras coastline to developing it into a tropical storm off the central Florida coast by mid-week. So the best we can say is there could be some local impacts by midweek. One impact that is probably pretty certain is seas will be increasing along with the risk of rip currents early next week.
There is already a lot of speculation in the social media and this will continue over the next few days. NWS WFO Jacksonville is closely monitoring the progress of the system and will keep you up to date with what we know. The truthful answer is until the system develops further there just is no way to tell you what it is going to do and what it means locally.
Takeways:
There is a cluster of thunderstorms offshore expected to drift southward toward the central Florida coast through mid-week.
The system may impact us toward mid-week but that possibility is FAR from certain.
Monitor the progress of the system, but be careful about unwarranted speculation you may see in the Social Media.
We are monitoring it closely and will keep you informed as to what we know and as importantly what we don't know.
Your feedback and thoughts on these Partner e-mails is always welcome and solicited please send any comments you might have with respect to the content and usefulness of this product to
Scott.Cordero@noaa.gov
Al.Sandrik@noaa.gov
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Invest 91L - Initialized at 8am Today (Saturday 6/28) - tvsteve, 6/28/2014, 10:17 am
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