60% through 48hrs, 80% now through 5 days; recon tomorrow if needed
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 6/29/2014, 2:05 pm
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...corrected NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUN 29 2014
corrected tropical depression development status
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low pressure system located about 230 miles east of St. Augustine, Florida, is gradually becoming better defined as it moves slowly southward to southwestward. Although upper-level winds are only marginally favorable, a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two. However, the system's proximity to dry air could inhibit significant development until environmental conditions become more conducive by late Tuesday while the low meanders offshore of the Florida east coast. The Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft that was scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon has been canceled, and the flight has been rescheduled for Monday morning, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Stewart |
360
In this thread:
Invest 91L - Initialized at 8am Today (Saturday 6/28) -
tvsteve,
6/28/2014, 10:17 am- 60% through 48hrs, 80% now through 5 days; recon tomorrow if needed - Chris in Tampa, 6/29/2014, 2:05 pm
- Re: Invest 91L - 70% chance of formation within next 5 days - tvsteve, 6/29/2014, 8:04 am
- Re: Invest 91L - From NWS Jax - tapesit, 6/28/2014, 10:13 pm
- Re: Invest 91L at 40% - Shalista, 6/28/2014, 5:18 pm
- Re: Invest 91L - Initialized at 8am Today (Saturday 6/28) - Shalista, 6/28/2014, 5:13 pm
- Re: Invest 91L - Initialized at 8am Today (Saturday 6/28) - AquaRN, 6/28/2014, 2:09 pm
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