NHC is highlighting two areas with a 20% chance within 5 days as of 2am on Tuesday
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/19/2014, 2:20 am
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower activity associated with a weak and elongated area of low pressure centered about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is limited. Although development of this system is not expected during the next couple of days, some slow development is possible by the end of the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles and moves into the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next several days while it moves to the west-northwest at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Satellite: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/catl.html
The global models could start getting confused over which, if any, or both, could develop.
Meanwhile, in the East Pacific, named storm number 12 has formed, one month ahead of schedule. (On average the twelfth storm is Sep. 19th.) The average is 15 for the year and it might be around the peak of their season. (I don't see an exact date, but the climatology page has a chart that seems to indicate the peak is earlier than the Atlantic.) But, we're already at 12. |
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In this thread:
Disturbance south of Cape Verde -
Jake,
8/13/2014, 6:05 pm- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - stevemc12, 8/21/2014, 1:56 pm
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - stevemc12, 8/21/2014, 12:23 pm
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - stevemc12, 8/21/2014, 8:44 am
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - stevemc12, 8/21/2014, 7:46 am
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - AquaRN, 8/20/2014, 6:29 pm
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - stevemc12, 8/20/2014, 6:47 am
- NHC 8pm - hanna, 8/20/2014, 8:46 pm
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - Jake, 8/19/2014, 12:03 pm
- And now the NHC is back to this one (20% through 5 days as of 8pm on Saturday) - Chris in Tampa, 8/16/2014, 11:21 pm
- Re: Disturbance south of Cape Verde - BobbiStorm, 8/13/2014, 8:01 pm
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