Re: 80% chance in 48 hrs; 90% chance in 5 days as of 8pm Friday
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/22/2014, 11:37 pm
They only calculate ACE when it is officially a storm or higher. Since it has so far not had a well defined center, it has not been considered a storm. But, they could later upgrade the storm in the best track database for previous 6 hour positions.

But if you were to apply ACE for any 35 knot or higher positions for all disturbances too, I'm not sure what might be highest. I only keep track of ACE for all storms or higher on my site. There have been some invests that stuck around awhile and had TS force winds that did not get an upgrade.
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Disturbance 96L Analysis ( Sorry no offense Hanna) - Jake, 8/21/2014, 6:55 pm
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