Re: 06z GFS is interesting
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/4/2014, 7:57 pm
That particular 6Z run had it getting trapped by high pressure which drove it westward, even somewhat south at times.

Here was that full 6Z run on September 4th:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014090406/gfs_mslp_pcpn_atltropics.html
(From the excellent site: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/)

Current GFS does not have that area develop (90L), instead going with something after it and recurving. Perhaps the big blob:
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/PRODUCTS/MPE/index.htm

Which I believe is pouch 29L here:
http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2014.html

Gulf system not as developed in latest run.

But this is all so far out.
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Tropical wave over Africa - Chris in Tampa, 9/3/2014, 9:24 pm
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