It would be so far north still though. Imagine the high pressure you would need to build in to drive it southward. Azores have to watch it though. GFS: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/ http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/ Models: http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2014&storm=06&display=googlemap&latestrun=1 The good news, lots of research into Edouard. This is probably the most sampled storm in that area ever. So there should be good model data. NASA Global Hawk mission finished yesterday morning, but it goes out again today. Three NOAA planes were in it yesterday and the same three will be back at it again today. "WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 1045 AM EDT MON 15 SEPTEMBER 2014 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2014 TCPOD NUMBER.....14-107 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. 3. REMARKS: A. NOAA WILL CONDUCT A THREE-PLANE RESEARCH MISSION INTO AND AROUND HURRICANE EDOUARD ON TUESDAY. TAKEOFF TIMES FOR NOAA42 AND NOAA49 FROM BERMUDA IS 16/1300Z. TAKEOFF TIME FOR NOAA43 FROM TISXF IS 16/1400Z. B. THE NASA 872 GLOBAL HAWK WILL FLY ANOTHER RESEARCH MISSION OVER EDOUARD ON TUESDAY. TAKEOFF TIME FROM KWAL WILL BE 16/1500Z. 75 SONDED TO BE EXPENDED. 55,000 TO 62,000 FT. ROTATED ALPHA WITH 600NM LEGS WITHIN REGION DEFINED BY 750NM RADIUS CENTERED AT 32.5N 57.0W II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1.NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. $$ JWP" HRD Blog: http://noaahrd.wordpress.com/ NASA HS3 mission daily schedule: https://espo.nasa.gov/missions/hs3/daily-schedule NHC Plan of the Day: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/recon.php NASA tracking of all types of recon (track data only): http://airbornescience.nasa.gov/tracker/ My site's tracking (new system now on the front page): http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/ Radar from NOAA P-3's when available: http://tropicalatlantic.com/noaa-aoc/images.shtml?path=radar&thumbnails=1 |