Re: East Pacific: "Simon says it is a major hurricane to a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft"
Posted by hanna on 10/5/2014, 11:01 am
000
WTPZ34 KNHC 051445
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
800 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2014

...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD AND SLOW DOWN SOON...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 117.1W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.1 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY...
FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SIMON SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.  STARTING
ON TUESDAY...RAINFALL FROM SIMON IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS
OF THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



90
In this thread:
East Pacific: "Simon says it is a major hurricane to a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft" - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2014, 5:15 pm
  • Re: East Pacific: "Simon says it is a major hurricane to a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft" - hanna, 10/5/2014, 11:01 am
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