Re: sobering
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 3/14/2015, 11:58 pm
| When I had seen from reports from the capital that didn't seem to show any extreme damage there, at least from what I saw, I wondered about the wind field. (although there are some conflicting reports about it, from videos I see though there are a lot of trees and power lines down with a lot of metal off roofs, but not much other structural damage) I had not looked at the wind field when it went by, but I assume the strongest winds were very consolidated to the center (that's where recon really helps to determine the makeup of the wind field and satellite passes too to some extent) or the storm may have been moving faster so that the right side, relative to forward motion, was weaker than had it been moving slower. (in the northern hemisphere the right side relative to forward motion would be stronger due to a counter-clockwise rotation) I'm not sure how fast it was moving. I'm also unsure of elevations too. But you could see the less populated islands definitely got the worst from it, giving the worst side of the eyewall on at least one of the islands. I didn't see how it hit the other island. I have no idea how much of a problem surge is there. Being islands I would guess less of a problem, unless they are shallow and then of course depending on bays. Surge is hard to predict even in the U.S. at times, I'm sure it is much harder in other parts of the world. I don't know if other places have SLOSH model equivalents. |
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3/9/2015, 2:24 pm Post A Reply
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