UA's new model
Posted by cypresstx on 4/9/2015, 7:48 am
their press release & a snippet:  http://uanews.org/story/a-better-method-for-forecasting-hurricane-season

A UA team's model improves the accuracy of forecasts for the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico by 23 percent. And it can generate predictions by the start of the six-month hurricane season, which could help emergency planning.

Compared with the other models, the UA model de-emphasized the role of El Nino, when the AMO is in the warm phase, as it has been for the past 15 years.


other mentions of it in the media:

http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2015-03/uoa-bmf033115.php

http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/a-better-method-for-forecasting-hurricane-season.html

http://www.scienceworldreport.com/articles/23946/20150401/new-hurricane-forecast-method-beats-models-staggering-23-percent.htm


if you have a subscription, you can download the PDF of their paper:  http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-14-00156.1
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National Tropical Weather Conference - cypresstx, 4/7/2015, 9:07 am
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