Fascinating 2007 study looks more and more likely to be correct
Posted by
Beachlover on 8/8/2015, 12:48 am
I know I've posted this more than once in recent years, and will (hopefully) do so again, and maybe yet again, as we possibly experience fewer -- rather than more -- active hurricane seasons during the progression of climate change. The following April, 2007 article from NOAA Magazine cites "...the first published study to indicate that changes to vertical wind shear seen in future climate projections would likely diminish the frequency and intensity of hurricanes," rather than enhance them.
I considered that a revolutionary thought at the time and still do, but don't find much evidence that anyone else is seriously considering this as a likelihood. I hope I'm wrong about that, maybe just not traveling in the right circles or something, but it seems to me we're still being told over and over that climate change will signal more, and more intense, storms.
I think it would be great fun to somehow talk to the scientists involved in that study, to see how they view things today in light of their theory. If I were a weather geek reporter, I'd be on the hunt for these people, asking questions about why the study hasn't been touted more loudly, especially now, being as how it seems to be proving itself very possibly right on the money, at least as to the Atlantic basin.
On the other hand, someone far more knowledgeable than I might read the study and totally debunk it. I know it's probably anathema to a hurricane website, but the main question is, is it true?? Wish I knew.
CLIMATE MODELS SUGGEST WARMING-INDUCED WIND SHEAR CHANGES COULD IMPACT HURRICANE DEVELOPMENT, INTENSITY |
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Fascinating 2007 study looks more and more likely to be correct - Beachlover, 8/8/2015, 12:48 am Post A Reply
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