this from a local met
Posted by cypresstx on 8/16/2015, 3:48 pm
Jeff Lindner, meteorologist with Harris Co. Flood Control District - here's a bit of what's posted on our local weather board:

Tropics:
Tropical wave moving slowly westward north of the Caribbean Sea this morning continues to experience strong wind shear. Overall upper air pattern will undergo transition in support of deep layer ridging developing from the central Atlantic into the SE US or a long fetch ESE to E steering flow from the deep tropics into the Gulf of Mexico over the next several days. We will have to closely watch incoming tropical waves from the east as they will likely be trapped under the building ridge and head generally toward the Gulf of Mexico. While conditions over the Atlantic remains modest at best, the Gulf looks fairly favorable over the next week or so.

96L over the far eastern Atlantic is showing some weak signs of organization this morning and NHC currently gives the system a 40% chance of development as it moves generally westward over the next 5 days. There is some weak model support for formation of this system, but thus far this season the El Nino enhanced shear has ended the chances of systems in the deep tropics.


so, I'll be watching the Gulf, I guess

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Orange? Invest 96L - BobbiStorm, 8/16/2015, 12:34 pm
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