NWS Brownsville
Posted by
cypresstx on 9/13/2015, 4:23 pm
from latest discussion
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BRO&issuedby=BRO&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
.long term /tuesday through sunday/...which ever entity forms or exist over the southwest gulf of mexico/ a low pressure trough or low end tropical cyclone/ at the beginning of the long term period moisture will likely be in place or spreading over the eastern half and possibly much of deep south texas. models continues to indicate an increase in moisture over the lower texas coastal waters and the eastern coastal counties tuesday spreading higher pwat air and increasing the depth of the moisture through out the cwa into wednesday and thursday. low level southeasterly flow becomes well established as surface high settles over the southeastern states and the ne gulf. surface low pressure trough extending north along the ne mexico coast from the low pressure area or possible tc to act as a convergence line for the gulf moisture. the moisture from these sw lows/low end tropical cyclone have a tendency to spread outward from the center as they move inland. latest gfs/nam and the medium range forecast /from the national hurricane center/ all indicate this entity moving inland over coastal mexico wednesday well south of the rgv. upper level winds or shear values over the sw gulf do not favor rapid development of this area of disturb weather. |
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In this thread:
GoM -
Gianmarc,
9/13/2015, 10:42 am- one last hurrah ? - cypresstx, 9/15/2015, 7:19 am
- Now Invest 94L - Chris in Tampa, 9/13/2015, 1:33 pm
- Recon investigating tomorrow afternoon - Chris in Tampa, 9/13/2015, 1:16 pm
- Re: GoM - Chris in Tampa, 9/13/2015, 11:39 am
- Re: GoM - cypresstx, 9/13/2015, 11:51 am
- Re: GoM - Chris in Tampa, 9/13/2015, 12:12 pm
- Re: GoM - Gianmarc, 9/13/2015, 12:07 pm
- 1006 in BOC - cypresstx, 9/13/2015, 11:56 am
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