Re: Joaquin path very uncertain
Posted by cypresstx on 9/30/2015, 8:49 am
looks like a more gradual change in path now & forecast winds have more than doubled from their forecast 2 days ago, though the last forecast point in each of these is in the same general area - much work to be done on intensity forecasting - WE NEED HFIP FUNDING !!!


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/114425.shtml?gm_track#contents


Advisory #10A, 8:00 AM EDT Wed September 30, 2015

120 hr Forecast
Valid at: 2:00 AM EDT Mon October 05, 2015
Location: 37.0 N, 73.5 W
Maximum Wind: 80 knots (90 mph)
Wind Gusts: 100 knots (115 mph)

96 hr Forecast
Valid at: 2:00 AM EDT Sun October 04, 2015
Location: 33.0 N, 73 W
Maximum Wind: 85 knots (100 mph)
Wind Gusts: 105 knots (120 mph)


vs


Advisory #3, 11:00 AM EDT Mon September 28, 2015
96 hr Forecast
Valid at: 8:00 AM EDT Fri October 02, 2015
Location: 37.7 N, 72.9 W
Maximum Wind: 35 knots (40 mph)
Wind Gusts: 45 knots (50 mph)
218
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Tropical Storm JOAQUIN - AquaRN, 9/28/2015, 11:09 pm
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