https://twitter.com/NWSEastern http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL STORM NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 500 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015 ...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST FROM EASTERN GEORGIA TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST...AS WELL AS WESTERN VIRGINIA. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE COASTLINE FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTHERN MAINE. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 400 AM EDT...A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS SITUATED JUST OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE WAS STREAMING NORTHWARD FROM HURRICANE JOAQUIN AND INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATED RAIN WAS GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM EASTERN VIRGINIA TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA TO WESTERN VIRGINIA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AREA ACROSS EASTERN CANADA AND THE LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE FRONT WAS RESULTING IN STRONG AND GUSTY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN SOME AREAS. PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW IS ALSO RESULTING IN COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH SURF ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT 1 THROUGH 400 AM EDT SAT OCT 3... ...DELAWARE... NASSAU 4.45 LONG NECK 4.20 REHOBOTH BEACH 3.75 DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73 OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50 SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91 LEWES 2 SSW 2.75 DOVER AFB 2.61 SEAFORD 1 S 2.55 DELMAR 4 E 2.49 GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48 MILFORD 2 W 2.01 ...GEORGIA... ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20 BAXLEY 3.43 BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38 R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27 ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90 ROME 6SW 2.71 TOCCOA 2.55 ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51 HAWKINSVILLE 2.50 CHARLOTTE 2.31 ...MARYLAND... OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65 TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80 SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48 PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11 ...NORTH CAROLINA... CALABASH 1 NNW 5.32 WILMINGTON 4.40 SUNSET BEACH 3 NNE 3.97 LAKE WACCAMAW 3 SW 3.68 NEW RIVER MCAS 3.58 BAYBORO 3E 3.51 LONGWOOD 1NW 3.44 WASHINGTON/WARREN FIELD ARPT 3.32 NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 3.14 SURF CITY 1 E 3.12 WHITEVILLE 7NW 3.12 JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT 3.07 FAYETTEVILLE 3.03 CHEROKEE 12N 2.96 CAPE FEAR RIVER AT LOCK 1 2.87 ELIZABETHTOWN (LOCK 2) 2.87 RALEIGH 2.11 ...NEW JERSEY... MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15 ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 1.36 ...PENNSYLVANIA... PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.01 ...SOUTH CAROLINA... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 8.30 SULLIVANS ISLAND 3.55 FLORENCE 3.36 GEORGETOWN 5 NNE 2.90 CHARLESTON 2.63 LONGS 1 NW 2.62 EDISTO ISLAND 2.43 CHESNEE 7WSW 2.13 ...TENNESSEE... COLUMBIA 5.48 DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57 PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08 ...VIRGINIA... NORFOLK NAS 3.77 LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43 OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98 NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49 RICHMOND 2.10 ...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE EVENT... ...DELAWARE... BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 58 LEWES BEACH 45 REHOBOTH BEACH 42 ...MASSACHUSETTS... NANTUCKET 47 OAK BLUFFS 45 ...MARYLAND... OXFORD 2 NNW 40 ...NORTH CAROLINA... SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT 43 ...NEW JERSEY... CAPE MAY 62 SEASIDE HEIGHTS 56 TUCKERTON 55 LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54 LONG BEACH ISLAND 47 OCEAN CITY 47 PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45 SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45 ...PENNSYLVANIA... LANDENBERG 53 ...RHODE ISLAND... CHARLESTOWN 46 THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LOW PRESSURE AREA ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST ALONG THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH THE FRONT FORECAST TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE JOAQUIN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE...WITH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK TAKING THE STORM OUT TO SEA...TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION ACROSS THE FRONT...WITH HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER A LARGE AREA. THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS FORECAST TO FALL ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN GEORGIA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WHERE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS WITHIN THIS AREA MAY EXCEED 15 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION...AND FARTHER WEST FROM WEST VIRGINIA AND KENTUCKY SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS IN PLACE...WITH WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. THESE WINDS MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES IN SOME AREAS DUE TO THE VERY WET SOIL CONDITIONS. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. HAMRICK/TATE |