Olaf in the East Pacific sets record for southernmost forming hurricane in that basin
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/18/2015, 8:00 am
Olaf didn't want to be frozen out of the record books.

From 2am PDT NHC discussion on October 18th:

"At 9.4N, Olaf is the lowest-latitude hurricane formation in the
eastern Pacific dataset.  Reliable records in the basin go back to
about 1971."

Pictured is the point at which hurricanes in the East Pacific basin, from 1949 to present, became a hurricane.

Included in some images is Olaf's previous best track positions through October 18th at 0Z. All images include Olaf's 9Z NHC advisory position, where the storm was designated a hurricane, at 9.4N 131.9W. (Best track data, which is subject to revision, currently indicates the storm became a hurricane at 6Z at 9.3N 131.4W)







The image below includes information from the East Pacific best track database since 1949, including post tropical positions, for positions with 65 knot or higher wind. It does not include anywhere along a path where something was a tropical storm or less.



Olaf is still not a threat to land through 5 days. It still looks to miss Hawaii, though some models loop it around, like the GFS, with a weak system possibly moving nearer to Hawaii eventually. (6Z run on Oct. 18th)

Forecast Track:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/085202.shtml?gm_track#contents

Models:
http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=ep&year=2015&storm=19&display=googlemap&latestrun=1
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?region=cpac&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn

Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/19E/19E_floater.html

Wide view:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/tpac.html
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Olaf in the East Pacific sets record for southernmost forming hurricane in that basin - Chris in Tampa, 10/18/2015, 8:00 am
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