Re: My city predictions released May 15th
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 5/16/2016, 8:33 pm
Nice visuals, despite the fact that all three of those kinds of paths would have me paying extra attention here in Tampa. (If that is even possible, since I do pay attention to everything, starting from something near Cape Verde, or over Africa, to the Azores) I don't like anything just north of western Cuba. I'm always concerned about a reverse Charley. If something is forecast to make landfall north or south of me, but people ignore the size of the storm, cone and the storm's incoming angle along the coast of Florida, people will be caught unprepared if it comes in sooner or later than the forecast line too many people focus on. Of course I'm focused on this area because I live here, but also, trying to look at it objectively, this is among the most hurricane prone areas for various reasons, mixed with the fact that it is hit so infrequently. (You would have to be about 100 to remember the last time a major hurricane hit the Tampa Bay area. And there was not 4 to 5 million people in the region then.)

Florida has generally been very lucky for so many years now. For a landmass, without too much land around it, to stick out between the warm Gulf and Gulf Stream and go over a decade without a major hurricane is rather unique to say the least.

The entire U.S. continues its record breaking streak, since 1851, of no major hurricane landfalls, in terms of wind. (Ike and Sandy were storms with major impacts, but due to water) It can't continue much longer.

Some day very soon you're going to get to test your storm chasing setup and I don't imagine you will be driving very far.
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My city predictions released May 15th - jimw, 5/15/2016, 11:02 am
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