90%
Posted by cypresstx on 6/5/2016, 7:49 am
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and western Cuba. Surface data show that pressures are falling in the area, and that winds to near tropical storm force are occurring over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm by tonight or on Monday while it moves north-northeastward toward the Florida Peninsula.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula during the next few days. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm conditions could occur along a portion of the west coast of the Florida Peninsula as early as Monday afternoon. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and
WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Brown
98
In this thread:
Invest 93L - Disturbance in NW Caribbean - Chris in Tampa, 6/3/2016, 3:00 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.