99L is looking better on satellite, radar and okay with a few surface observations. There have been some light west winds, in surface observations, where you would expect them to be. If it holds together, I think we might have a depression when the plane gets out there. The plane will likely be out there around where the center likely is at about 11am EDT.
Wundermap of weather stations:
http://wxug.us/20c9r
Recon plan of the day:
NOUS42 KNHC 231804
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0200 PM EDT TUE 23 AUGUST 2016
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z AUGUST 2016
TCPOD NUMBER.....16-089 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 24/2330Z,25/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0408A CYCLONE
C. 24/2230Z
D. 19.7N 66.4W
E. 24/2300Z TO 25/0530Z
F. SFC TO 10,000
FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
A. 25/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0508A CYCLONE
C. 25/1000Z
D. 21.2N 69.1W
E. 25/1100Z TO 25/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
B. A WC-130 SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION FOR 26/0000Z.
3. REMARKS:.....ADDED
A. MISSION FOR 23/2330Z AND 24/0530Z CANCELED...ADDED
B. NEXT MISSION ON SUSPECT AREA 24/1500Z.....ADDED
C. THE GLOBAL HAWK (NASA 872) IS PLANNING A 24 HOUR
RESEARCH MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM GASTON. DEPARTURE
24/1000Z. ALTITUDE 55,000 TO 65,000 FT. 86 DROPS.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/recon.php
The NASA Global Hawk, an Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS), will be doing a 24 hour mission into Gaston, not 99L unfortunately. We could have used the Global Hawk sampling all over the place in front on 99L to see if the models could get some data that might make things more clear. The next science flight is scheduled to takeoff at 6pm EDT Friday, though I am betting that too would go to Gaston.
You can learn more about the Global Hawk's missions as part of the SHOUT project here:
https://uas.noaa.gov/shout/
https://noaashout.wordpress.com/
Radars (you can see it really good right now):
Martinique:
http://www.meteofrance.gp/previsions-meteo-antilles-guyane/animation/radar/antilles
Martinique and other available radars, composite in Eastern Carib:
http://barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_displayer.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=EC_Bar&Composite=Sabre
Another composite, but including all of Puerto Rico in that as well:
http://barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_displayer.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=fullView&Composite=Sabre
As well as many radars throughout the Carib.
Puerto Rico, for a little later:
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=JUA&type=N0Z&num=6&delay=50&showlabels=1&showstorms=1&lightning=1
Satellite:
Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/99L/99L_floater.html
More satellite imagery specific to this storm:
http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2016&storm=99&latestinvest=1#satellite |