| 21...CORRECTED CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030500- TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 21...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY AL092016 126 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016 THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT HERMINE MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AS HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX...EASTERN UNION...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...NORTHERN NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU * STORM INFORMATION: - ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 840 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY - 31.9N 82.0W - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH - MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 MPH SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...AND THEN SLOW DOWN OR EVEN STALL OFF THE COAST LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY...HUDSON AND EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES OF NEW JERSEY...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NY AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM SUNDAY ONWARD. HAZARDOUS SEAS...DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * SURGE: PREPARE FOR UP TO 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OF LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY... CONNECTICUT...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...AND TIDAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE: - LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS WILL BECOME STRESSED AND LIKELY OVERWHELMED. - SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS. - MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. - ALONG THE OCEANFRONT...AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION FROM STORM SURGE AND BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS, WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED. * WIND: PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 57 MPH. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE: - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. * FLOODING RAIN: IMPACTS WILL DEPEND ON EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM. PLEASE STAY TUNED. * TORNADOES: LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. * OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND BATTERING SURF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND LOCALIZED OVERWASHES ARE FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: IF ORDERED TO EVACUATE, PLEASE LISTEN AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY. IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY OR CANYON, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV - FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG - FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG NEXT UPDATE ----------- THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. |