quick trip to the Keys Jim ?
Posted by
cypresstx on 9/9/2016, 2:37 pm
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/three-nonthreatening-atlantic-invests-to-watch-92l-93l-and-94l
Forecast for 92L
There is little model support for the development of 92L, with none of the 00Z Friday operational versions of our three reliable models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis--the GFS, UKMET and European models--predicting development. Only 4% of the 50 ensemble members of the European model predicted development, and none of the 20 members of the GFS model ensemble did so. During the next five days, 92L should experience dry mid-level air with a relative humidity of 60 - 65%, and see moderately high wind shear of 15 - 25 knots, as the storm heads west at about 5 mph through the southern Gulf of Mexico, according to the 8 am EDT Friday run of the SHIPS model. These conditions are quite marginal for development. In their 2 pm EDT Friday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave this system 2-day and 5-day development odds of 40%. 92L will likely bring winds gusts near 40 mph and rain squalls to the Florida Keys Friday evening through Saturday afternoon. |
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Now 40% for 92L -
canetrakker,
9/9/2016, 2:23 pm Post A Reply
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